In a bid to shed light on Bitcoin’s potential price recovery, renowned Bitcoin proponent Samson Mow has revealed a list of crucial macro indicators that could sway the cryptocurrency’s outlook. Mow’s projections, which include a $1 million price target, hinge on factors such as Spot Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) inflows and the network hashrate.
With Bitcoin currently trading at $43,428, a 3.3% increase in the past 24 hours, it remains 38% below its all-time high of $68,789. However, Mow believes that the forthcoming halving event, coupled with the approval and increased inflows of spot BTC ETFs, could propel the cryptocurrency’s price to new heights.
Mow’s Crucial Bitcoin Indicators
Bitcoin price action. Source: Coingecko
The first indicator on Mow’s list is Bitcoin Spot ETF inflows. With the recent introduction of Bitcoin ETFs in the United States, increased inflows into these products could help mitigate the impact of retail price sell-offs. Mow believes that significant capital inflow into spot ETFs is vital for his bullish projection of Bitcoin reaching $1 million in the future.
These are the #Bitcoin macro indicators I’m looking at:
⬆️ ETF inflows
⬆️ Finex whale accumulation
⬆️ 200 WMA trend
⬆️ Tether USDt AUM
⬆️ Govt interest payments on debt
⬆️ Debt GDP ratios
⬆️ Nation-state Bitcoin adoption
⬆️ Real inflation
⬆️ M3 money
— Samson Mow (@Excellion) January 28, 2024
Surprisingly, Mow also includes Tether (USDT) Asset Under Management (AUM) as an essential indicator. The stablecoin’s role as a key liquidity base for BTC could significantly impact the cryptocurrency’s price.
Alongside these on-chain indicators, Mow emphasizes the significance of factors such as the government’s interest payments on debt, Debt GDP ratios, nation-state Bitcoin adoption, real inflation, and M3 Money. These indicators, according to Mow, converge to influence the top crypto’s long-term price outlook.
BTC market cap currently at $851.564 billion. Chart: TradingView.com
Spot BTC ETFs: Insights, Developments
While Mow’s insights provide valuable perspectives, the cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile and unpredictable. However, recent developments surrounding spot BTC ETFs have been noteworthy. Ongoing outflows from Grayscale GBTC, although reduced compared to earlier stages, have reached a substantial $2.2 billion. This decrease in outflows could indicate growing interest and confidence in spot BTC ETFs.
Moreover, the global attention surrounding spot BTC ETFs is evident as Hong Kong prepares to release and approve its own version of the product. Harvest Hong Kong, one of China’s largest fund companies, has already applied for spot BTC ETF approval from the Securities and Futures Commission (SFC). In the coming weeks, regulators worldwide may express interest in supporting these ETFs to attract institutional capital.
As Bitcoin continues its journey toward price recovery, Mow’s indicators offer valuable insights into potential catalysts. Nevertheless, investors should approach the market with caution and conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView